Cal State Northridge
W-L: (24-29) PR = 93.6325Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 10- 5 214 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 4- 3 215 H Seattle U WC (16-31, 90.7) 15- 6 218 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 0 220 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0- 5 221 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 12- 7 222 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 0-12 224 A California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 7- 5 227 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 1-11 228 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 11- 4 301 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 5-10 303 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 9- 2 306 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 5- 3 307 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 2- 4 308 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 9- 2 309 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 12- 1 313 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 16-17 314 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4- 6 315 H UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 4-12 317 A Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 11- 9 320 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 5- 3 321 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6-11 322 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 4- 1 327 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 3-11 328 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 6- 8 329 H Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 9- 5 331 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 5- 6 402 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 403 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 4-17 404 H Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 18- 4 407 H Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 4- 2 409 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 9-13 410 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 1- 3 411 A UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 8- 9 414 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 12- 7 417 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 3-11 418 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 11- 2 419 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 5- 3 421 H San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 3- 4 424 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 5- 8 425 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 4- 5 426 A Cal Poly BW (39-25, 95.3) 2- 5 429 H Fresno State MW ( 9-14, 93.3) 7- 4 501 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 8- 6 502 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 5- 6 503 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 2- 5 505 H California Baptist WAC (23- 9, 96.5) 7- 9 508 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 8 509 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 5 510 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 2- 4 513 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 0- 3 514 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 0- 1 515 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 8- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Seattle U 10- 5 5 4 1.42
214 H Seattle U 4- 3 1 4 - -2.58
215 H Seattle U 15- 6 9 4 ++ 5.42
218 A Georgia State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.68
220 H Jacksonville State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.22
221 A Saint Mary's 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.61
222 A Saint Mary's 0-12 -12 -2 --- -10.39
224 A California Baptist 7- 5 2 -4 ++ 5.53
227 H Western Michigan 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.80
228 H Western Michigan 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.20
301 H Western Michigan 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.80
303 A Pepperdine 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.51
306 H San Diego State 5- 3 2 1 0.62
307 A UC Irvine 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.63
308 A UC Irvine 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 8.37
309 H Pepperdine 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.16
313 H UC San Diego 16-17 -1 0 -0.89
314 H UC San Diego 4- 6 -2 0 -1.89
315 H UC San Diego 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.89
317 A Fresno State 11- 9 2 0 + 2.31
320 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.75
321 H Tulane 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.90
322 A Cal State Fullerton 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.75
327 H Cal State Bakersfield 3-11 -8 1 --- -9.42
328 H Cal State Bakersfield 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.42
329 H Cal State Bakersfield 9- 5 4 1 + 2.58
331 A Pepperdine 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.49
402 H Long Beach State 7- 2 5 1 + 3.57
403 H Long Beach State 4-17 -13 1 --- -14.43
404 H Long Beach State 18- 4 14 1 +++ 12.57
407 H Pepperdine 4- 2 2 3 -0.84
409 H Arizona 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.48
410 H Northwestern 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.79
411 A UC Riverside 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.35
414 H Loyola Marymount 12- 7 5 3 1.66
417 H UC Davis 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.46
418 H UC Davis 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.54
419 H UC Davis 5- 3 2 0 1.54
421 H San Diego State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.38
424 A Cal Poly 5- 8 -3 -2 -0.66
425 A Cal Poly 4- 5 -1 -2 1.34
426 A Cal Poly 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.66
429 H Fresno State 7- 4 3 1 1.96
501 A Oregon State 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 5.32
502 A Oregon State 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.32
503 A Oregon State 2- 5 -3 -3 0.32
505 H California Baptist 7- 9 -2 -2 0.17
508 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.05
509 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 5 -1 -2 0.95
510 H UC Santa Barbara 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.05
513 H UC Davis 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46
515 A Hawai'i 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.70
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Saint Mary's 0-12 -12 -2 --- -10.39 227 H Western Michigan 1-11 -10 2 --- -11.80 301 H Western Michigan 5-10 -5 2 --- -6.80 315 H UC San Diego 4-12 -8 0 --- -7.89 327 H Cal State Bakersfield 3-11 -8 1 --- -9.42 403 H Long Beach State 4-17 -13 1 --- -14.43 417 H UC Davis 3-11 -8 0 --- -8.46 321 H Tulane 6-11 -5 0 -- -4.90 409 H Arizona 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.48 411 A UC Riverside 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.35 214 H Seattle U 4- 3 1 4 - -2.58 220 H Jacksonville State 0- 5 -5 -3 - -2.22 328 H Cal State Bakersfield 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.42 331 A Pepperdine 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.49 410 H Northwestern 1- 3 -2 2 - -3.79 421 H San Diego State 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.38 508 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.05 513 H UC Davis 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Saint Mary's 12- 7 5 -2 +++ 6.61 308 A UC Irvine 9- 2 7 -1 +++ 8.37 309 H Pepperdine 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.16 404 H Long Beach State 18- 4 14 1 +++ 12.57 418 H UC Davis 11- 2 9 0 +++ 8.54 515 A Hawai'i 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.70 215 H Seattle U 15- 6 9 4 ++ 5.42 218 A Georgia State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 4.68 224 A California Baptist 7- 5 2 -4 ++ 5.53 228 H Western Michigan 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.20 303 A Pepperdine 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.51 501 A Oregon State 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 5.32 317 A Fresno State 11- 9 2 0 + 2.31 320 A Cal State Fullerton 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.75 322 A Cal State Fullerton 4- 1 3 -1 + 3.75 329 H Cal State Bakersfield 9- 5 4 1 + 2.58 402 H Long Beach State 7- 2 5 1 + 3.57 502 A Oregon State 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 10- 5 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.55 9.37
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 4- 3 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.55 9.37
3 H Seattle U (16-31, 90.7) 15- 6 -9.17 9.26 -0.68 0.55 9.37
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 0 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.55 14.01
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0- 5 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.55 -0.95
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 12- 7 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.55 15.03
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 0-12 -5.33 13.10 0.68 0.55 -1.27
3 A California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 7- 5 -3.42 15.01 0.68 0.55 17.12
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 1-11 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.55 -2.20
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 11- 4 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.55 11.31
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 5-10 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.55 -2.20
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 9- 2 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.55 11.64
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 5- 3 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.55 11.77
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 2- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 -1.34
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 9- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.55 14.77
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 12- 1 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.55 10.17
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 16-17 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4- 6 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 H UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 4-12 -5.48 12.94 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 11- 9 -6.63 11.79 0.68 0.55 13.61
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 5- 3 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.55 14.09
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 6-11 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.55 -1.68
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 4- 1 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.55 14.09
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 3-11 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 6- 8 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 9- 5 -7.01 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.72
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 5- 6 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.55 -2.12
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 7- 2 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 4-17 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 -2.10
3 H Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 18- 4 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.55 11.71
3 H Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 4- 2 -8.43 9.99 -0.68 0.55 10.17
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 9-13 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.55 -1.84
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 1- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.55 -2.20
3 A UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 8- 9 -10.30 8.13 0.68 0.55 -2.63
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 12- 7 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.55 9.62
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 3-11 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.55 -1.83
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 11- 2 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.55 12.77
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 5- 3 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.55 12.77
3 H San Diego Stat (15-16, 92.9) 3- 4 -6.97 11.46 -0.68 0.55 -2.09
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 5- 8 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 4- 5 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 A Cal Poly (39-25, 95.3) 2- 5 -4.60 13.83 0.68 0.55 -1.07
3 H Fresno State ( 9-14, 93.3) 7- 4 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.55 12.13
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 8- 6 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.55 16.89
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 5- 6 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 2- 5 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.55 -0.80
3 H California Bap (23- 9, 96.5) 7- 9 -3.42 15.01 -0.68 0.55 -1.12
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 8 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 5 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 2- 4 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.55 -1.18
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 0- 3 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.55 -1.83
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 0- 1 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.55 -0.94
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 8- 1 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.55 14.03
------
253.32
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winning pts = 299.2413 losing points = -45.9255
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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